Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 5.788864 6.521083 7.322023 8.265078 9.347504 10.553841 12.003983
2024-12-29 4.897947 5.903072 7.089430 8.600746 10.485766 12.773542 15.781845
2025-01-05 4.189241 5.307049 6.703214 8.590942 11.100719 14.356519 18.954728
2025-01-12 3.664030 4.830103 6.354249 8.517273 11.548346 15.705133 21.942204
2025-01-19 3.119154 4.244127 5.768982 8.019395 11.311307 16.037811 23.498062
2025-01-26 2.850766 3.995403 5.600733 8.059339 11.806393 17.429875 26.755462
2025-02-02 2.694165 3.881852 5.601774 8.329961 12.654046 19.426517 31.211924
2025-02-09 2.530706 3.737802 5.536896 8.482861 13.322254 21.205853 35.554506
2025-02-16 2.378514 3.593525 5.452913 8.588417 13.913733 22.915249 40.010872
2025-02-23 2.242238 3.459620 5.369050 8.678872 14.479879 24.635957 44.728869
2025-03-02 2.053167 3.224622 5.100702 8.429908 14.424316 25.241934 47.418736
2025-03-09 1.922187 3.072577 4.953534 8.370705 14.692762 26.457497 51.468721
2025-03-16 1.793078 2.916496 4.791466 8.278323 14.906983 27.630054 55.696456
2025-03-23 1.749986 2.902471 4.870892 8.629610 15.999484 30.656078 64.398872
2025-03-30 1.653783 2.788341 4.764315 8.623144 16.391907 32.320749 70.378643
2025-04-06 1.556821 2.665071 4.630483 8.549914 16.638640 33.708264 75.956981
2025-04-13 1.409391 2.440476 4.294198 8.050048 15.948829 32.989383 76.329861
2025-04-20 1.347131 2.366915 4.232555 8.090200 16.402455 34.854142 83.477721
2025-04-27 1.318698 2.353683 4.283170 8.362003 17.387205 38.060301 94.723224
2025-05-04 1.277567 2.313247 4.277644 8.515569 18.125768 40.791470 105.252962
2025-05-11 1.233732 2.264352 4.251328 8.621586 18.766901 43.375928 115.913477
2025-05-18 1.191161 2.214848 4.219713 8.712435 19.382212 45.983118 127.203877
2025-05-25 1.116849 2.097614 4.041883 8.462386 19.148506 46.368585 131.821719